Investor’s
Manual
Bioenergy
New investment
models could help
reverse decline
of local ownership of
biofuel plants
Investor’s
By David S. Chesnick
Agricultural Economist
USDA Rural Development
david.chesnick@wdc.usda.gov
Editor's note: This article presents findings
of Informa Economics, a consulting firm
headquartered in Memphis, Tenn. The
article does not reflect any official position of
the U.S. Department of Agriculture or of
any other government entity.
little more than onethird
of ethanolindustry
capacity was
owned by farmers and
other local investors in
early 2007, according to the Renewable
Fuels Association. However, only 15
percent of new or expanding biofuel
plant construction is owned by such
investors. A key reason for this shift is
that the larger plants being built today
require larger amounts of equity.
Equity investment at this scale can
be difficult to obtain from farmers and
other rural investors living in close
proximity to a proposed facility. But if
local investment wanes, so does the flow
of returns from biofuel to the
communities where it is produced.
Based on the analysis conducted by
Informa and interviews carried out
during the course of this project,
Informa formulated several investment
models that may be used to facilitate
investment by farmers and other rural
residents in the renewable energy
sector. This article briefly describes
each of these models.
Closed-end renewable
energy fund
With a closed-end renewable energy
fund, investment is limited to farmers
and other rural residents seeking to
invest in energy projects. Such funds
would be managed by professionals or
institutions. These funds will need to be
large enough to invest across multiple
facilities. For example, a $300 million
capitalization fund could own almost all
the equity in three 100-million-gallonper-
year ethanol facilities.
While it is uncertain how much
money farmers and other rural investors
would be willing to invest in such a
fund, some parameters can be placed
around potential contributions.
Through interviews, Informa calculated
that the per-person investments by
farmers and other rural investors tend
to be small, in relative terms, generally
around $10,000 to $50,000. Given the
resources of farmers, Informa believes
farmers with gross sales of more than
$100,000, a mean net worth of at least
$1 million and a debt-coverage ratio of
at least $50,000 would be the most
likely candidates for participation in a
renewable energy fund.
Nearly 300,000 farms fall into the
financial categories just described. If
each farmer were to invest at least
$10,000, the fund would attract $3
billion. New ethanol plants typically
cost $1.95 per gallon of capacity.
Typically, they are built using 40
percent equity and 60 percent debt.
This would be sufficient to provide
equity for more than 3.5 billion gallons
of ethanol.
Debenture guarantees
The debenture guarantee model,
according to Informa’s analysis, would
be similar to the Rural Business
Investment Program (RBIP), created in
the 2002 Farm Bill and administered by
the Small Business Administration.
Under this program, Rural Business
Investment Companies (RBICs) are
established and allowed to issue
debenture guarantees. The debentures
issued by an RBIC are pooled with
other issues and sold to outside
investors.
The debentures are backed by the
federal government and would carry
lower premiums. Informa proposes that
a similar program could be used for
biofuel investment projects. The modifications
of the RBIP program to facilitate
an RBIC program would be as follows:
- Because a relatively large amount of
total capital is required to finance
construction of a new ethanol plant
(around $185 million for a 100-
million-gallon facility) the maximum,
$6 million-net-worth restrictions of
the existing program would be relaxed.
- Debenture pre-payment requirements
for dividends may need to be relaxed
in order to generate more cash flow
to equity holders.
- Leverage fees for debentures would
have to be significantly lower to be
competitive against market interest
rates.
Despite the current drop in the
market price for ethanol, ethanol stake
holders enjoyed short debt-payback
periods for those that entered the
market early. Thus, the debt market did
not demand a high risk premium from
ethanol producers. Furthermore,
ethanol plants with a higher probability
of financial success are able to secure
adequate debt financing in the market,
Informa found.
New Markets Tax Credit
A third investment model is based on
the New Markets Tax Credit (NMTC).
The NMTC program is funded and
managed by the U.S. Treasury
Department’s Community
Development Financial Institutions
(CDFI) program. The Models for
Funneling Local Investment Capital
into Biofuel Production program
permits taxpayers to receive a credit
against federal income taxes for making
qualified equity investments in
designated Community Development
Entities (CDEs).
These CDEs could invest in biofuel
facilities and could supplement the
farmers’ equity, thereby leveraging the
initial farmer investment. Some
modifications would be needed for the
biofuel sector, such as:
- The CDE would pledge to invest in a
portfolio of qualified biofuel projects;
- Create a new tax credit model that
will mirror the investment mechanism
of the New Markets Tax Credit, but
target it specifically for biofuels and
renewable industry investment.
The New Markets Tax Credit could
become a model to help finance a few
farmer-owned biofuels facilities. The
federal tax credit provides a subsidy
that, if structured correctly, can provide
some economical incentives for
investors to finance farmer-owned
operations.
Tax credit for projects with
minimal rural involvement
Research by Informa indicated that
farmer groups and rural residents can
raise $5 million to $10 million from a
limited number of investors in a short
period of time. However, moving
beyond this has proven difficult for
many groups. To expand this group
would incur a high cost. Therefore,
another proposal would be to use tax
credits for outside investors to help
farmers finance biofuel facilities.
This program would require an
outside investor to match the farmers’
investment in exchange for the project’s
tax credit. Informa says this is similar to
the Production Tax Credit for windgenerated
electricity. In order for the
investors to gain the tax credit, they
would need to maintain a minimum of
perhaps 25 percent farmer ownership.
Using project tax credits for a minimum
share of farmer or rural involvement is
potentially a viable mechanism to
maintain or increase the farmer
participation in the biofuels sector.
No new investment models?
Informa noted that some
interviewees objected to any program
that the government would create for
investment in renewable energy. They
indicated that there already are
substantial amounts of equity flowing
into renewable fuel projects. They
stated that farmer-investors can buy
shares in any of the several publicly
traded ethanol companies.
While farmers can use this approach
to invest in ethanol, this would not
accomplish the objective of stanching
the trend of rural investors owning a
receding share of renewable fuelproduction
capacity. This also would
keep the returns from biofuels from
recirculating within the rural
community and thus stimulating further
economic growth within that rural
community.